Preseason Rankings
SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.5#331
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.4#132
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.7#327
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#321
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.9% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 14.9 15.6
.500 or above 2.3% 22.0% 2.1%
.500 or above in Conference 8.7% 31.4% 8.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 33.3% 18.9% 33.5%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Louis (Away) - 0.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 71 - 13
Quad 45 - 96 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 52   @ Saint Louis L 58-83 1%    
  Nov 26, 2020 30   LSU L 66-90 1%    
  Nov 28, 2020 160   Eastern Michigan L 62-74 13%    
  Dec 02, 2020 189   @ Northern Illinois L 61-75 10%    
  Dec 05, 2020 196   Nebraska Omaha L 72-79 25%    
  Dec 09, 2020 155   @ Valparaiso L 66-82 8%    
  Dec 13, 2020 80   @ Northwestern L 59-81 2%    
  Dec 18, 2020 296   @ Morehead St. L 68-76 25%    
  Dec 21, 2020 186   Eastern Illinois L 70-78 25%    
  Jan 02, 2021 255   Jacksonville St. L 69-73 38%    
  Jan 05, 2021 186   @ Eastern Illinois L 67-81 12%    
  Jan 07, 2021 133   Austin Peay L 69-80 17%    
  Jan 09, 2021 105   Murray St. L 66-80 12%    
  Jan 14, 2021 211   Eastern Kentucky L 77-83 30%    
  Jan 16, 2021 296   Morehead St. L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 21, 2021 269   @ Tennessee St. L 68-77 22%    
  Jan 23, 2021 114   @ Belmont L 66-85 5%    
  Jan 28, 2021 325   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 70-74 38%    
  Jan 30, 2021 324   @ Tennessee Martin L 75-79 37%    
  Feb 04, 2021 269   Tennessee St. L 71-74 39%    
  Feb 06, 2021 114   Belmont L 69-82 13%    
  Feb 11, 2021 304   @ Tennessee Tech L 67-74 28%    
  Feb 13, 2021 255   @ Jacksonville St. L 66-76 21%    
  Feb 18, 2021 133   @ Austin Peay L 66-83 8%    
  Feb 20, 2021 105   @ Murray St. L 63-83 5%    
  Feb 25, 2021 324   Tennessee Martin W 78-76 56%    
  Feb 27, 2021 325   Southeast Missouri St. W 73-71 58%    
Projected Record 6 - 21 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5 2.3 0.9 0.1 6.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 3.4 3.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.1 4.0 1.2 0.1 12.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.3 6.1 4.5 1.5 0.1 16.2 10th
11th 0.2 2.0 5.8 7.2 4.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 20.6 11th
12th 2.0 5.4 7.5 5.6 2.8 0.5 0.0 23.9 12th
Total 2.0 5.6 9.5 12.1 13.6 13.1 12.3 10.0 7.7 5.5 3.7 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 78.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 77.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 1.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 2.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 32.0% 32.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.2% 7.7% 7.7% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-6 0.4% 5.9% 5.9% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-7 0.6% 5.5% 5.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.6
12-8 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 1.4
11-9 2.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.3
10-10 3.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.7
9-11 5.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.5
8-12 7.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.7
7-13 10.0% 10.0
6-14 12.3% 12.3
5-15 13.1% 13.1
4-16 13.6% 13.6
3-17 12.1% 12.1
2-18 9.5% 9.5
1-19 5.6% 5.6
0-20 2.0% 2.0
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.6%